522
FXUS65 KFGZ 211620
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
920 AM MST Sat Mar 21 2026

.SYNOPSIS...Summer-like high pressure will continue into next week,
with temperatures reaching up to 25 degrees above normal. Please
exercise appropriate precautions if you are planning on any
outdoor activity. Breezy southwest winds and low humidity are also
expected.

&&

.DISCUSSION...The unprecedented March heat wave will continue into
next week, though the hottest readings were likely achieved
Thursday or Friday for most locations as the high pressure center
will weaken a bit and slide southeast today and Sunday. The high
may strengthen again and move back toward Arizona toward the
middle of next week. Even with the slightly lower temperatures,
daily record highs are currently forecast to be broken at
Flagstaff each of the next 7 days, and each of these would break
the old March record of 73 from 2007 - truly remarkable. It`s the
same story for our other long-term observation sites including
Winslow and Prescott. The other story as the high slides southeast
today will be an increase in west-southwest winds to 15-25 mph -
combining with low humidity of 5-10% to bring elevated fire
weather conditions. Winds on Sunday are forecast to weaken
slightly to 10-15 mph gusting near 20 mph.

&&

.AVIATION...Saturday 21/18Z through Sunday 22/18Z...Look for VFR
conditions. Winds SW to W at 10-15 kts with gusts 20-25 kts
through 03Z, becoming light and variable thereafter.


OUTLOOK...Sunday 22/18Z through Tuesday 24/18Z...VFR conditions with
winds SW to W at 5-15 kts gusting to around 20 kts each day.
Winds generally light and variable overnight periods.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today and Sunday...Very dry with record high
temperatures, though highs will drop around 5 degrees for Sunday.
Minimum RH values 5-12%  Winds increase from the west-southwest at
15-20 mph with gusts 25-30 mph this afternoon, and this will lead to
elevated fire weather conditions. Lighter west-southwest winds
Sunday at 10-15 mph gusting near 20 mph.

Monday through Wednesday...Expect high temperatures to remain 20-25
degrees above normal. Daytime winds west-southwest at 10-15 mph,
with gusts 20-25 mph. Minimum RH values 7-13%  The continuation of
unseasonable heat and very dry conditions will dry out fuels and may
lead to elevated fire weather conditions at times.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM MST Sunday for AZZ006-037.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ
AVIATION...McCollum
FIRE WEATHER...JJ

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

NWS Flagstaff Office