003
FXUS65 KTWC 132059
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
159 PM MST Sat Dec 13 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and warm weather will continue through the end of
next week. High temperatures will be well above normal, with some
locations approaching record levels through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Record to near-record high temperatures are forecast
for several locales through the end of next week with areas of minor
HeatRisk due to unseasonably warm temperatures. High temperatures
will continue to be in the 70s (10-15 degrees above normal) with
prevailing dry conditions through next week as a ridge of high
pressure continues to preclude any notable pattern changes.

The pressure gradient will become locally tightened and winds will
become easterly to southeasterly across southeast Arizona
tomorrow and Monday as the ridge axis nudges slightly to the east.
Tomorrow winds will be around 10-15 mph with the strongest winds
anticipated across the Upper Gila Valley near Safford where gusts
to between 25-30 mph are expected. Only minor nuisance impacts
such as occasional brief lofted dust are anticipated.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 15/00Z.
SCT clouds AOA 20k feet MSL thru the valid pd. SFC winds this
afternoon less than 10 kts favoring WLY/NWLY direction becoming
variable between 14/03Z and 14/13Z. Tomorrow, SFC winds will
become ELY/SELY and begin to increase between 14/13Z and 14/15Z
with speeds of 8-12 kts and occasional gusts between 20-25 kts.
The strongest winds will be in the vicinity of KSAD. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions are expected through the end of next
week, along with high temperatures 10-15 degrees above normal. 20-
foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less and terrain driven the
next seven days, except Sunday into Monday when east-southeast winds
of 10-15 mph and gusts to 25-30 mph are expected. Minimum RH values
at all elevations will generally be in the 15-25 percent range into
the middle of next week, with the potential for a slight increase
into the 20-35 percent range across eastern areas (Cochise, Graham
and Greenlee counties) on Monday.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

DVS

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