164
FXUS65 KTWC 262008
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
108 PM MST Sun Oct 26 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Dry conditions will prevail through the end of the
week, with high temperatures warming to several degrees above
normal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Mostly clear skies today with a few passing high
clouds making for a calm end of October day. High pressure
continues to be the main story and driver of our weather and will
continue for the next 7 to 10 days. The ridging that we will
experience through tomorrow will flatten some due to the passing
of a strong low pressure system now in the southern Idaho/
Montana area. Once the low has passed, greater amplitude ridging
will set up increasing temperatures 3-7 degrees above normal.
High temperature throughout the work week will be in the upper 80s
to low 90s in the lower deserts from Tucson westward and in the
lower to mid 80s across the lower elevation locations of Santa
Cruz, Cochise and Graham counties. There may be a few degrees of
cooling across the eastern areas (Cochise, Graham and Greenlee
counties) on Wednesday as low level flow switches around to an
easterly direction and some `cooler air` is pulled in from the
east

More significant riding is forecast to build early next week (7 to
10 days from now) bringing influencing increasing high
temperatures. The Climate Prediction Center has southeastern
Arizona in a 70-90 percent chance for above normal temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 28/00Z
SKC across much of SE Arizona the some FEW high clouds passing
above KSAD and northeastward AOA 25-30k ft AGL. FEW clouds AOA
25-30k ft AGL will push southwestward towards KTUS by 27/00Z.
Clouds will dissipate and become SKC by 27/10Z and remain so for
the rest of the forecast period. SFC winds will be from the
northwest less than 12 kts becoming southeast aft 27/05Z. SFC
winds become northwesterly again aft 27/21Z and remain so for the
rest of the forecast period. Aviation discussion not updated for
TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions are expected the next 7 days. High
temperatures will be near normal today, rising to 3-7 degrees above
normal this week. 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less,
with occasional gusts to 20-25 mph through the end of the week.
Minimum RH values will be in the 12-22 percent range in most
locations this week.

&&

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Malarkey

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